oversight

Rebuilding Iraq

Published by the Government Accountability Office on 2003-05-15.

Below is a raw (and likely hideous) rendition of the original report. (PDF)

United States General Accounting Office
Washington, DC 20548


   May 15, 2003

   The Honorable Richard G. Lugar
   Chairman
   The Honorable Joseph R. Biden
   Ranking Minority Member
   Committee on Foreign Relations
   United States Senate

   The Honorable Henry J. Hyde
   Chairman
   The Honorable Tom Lantos
   Ranking Minority Member
   Committee on International Relations
   House of Representatives

   Subject: Rebuilding Iraq

   Rebuilding Iraq is a U.S. national security priority. As part of this effort, Congress
   appropriated $79 billon in emergency supplemental funds for fiscal year 2003 for military
   operations and Iraq’s reconstruction, including humanitarian relief, peacekeeping, and
   economic and political reform. We have issued reports on similar programs to rebuild
   countries in the former Yugoslavia, the former Soviet Union, and other locations (see
   attachment III for a listing of previous GAO reports). Based on this work, we have
   developed short papers to help congressional decision-makers think about and prioritize
   the range of issues related to rebuilding Iraq. These papers cover the following topics.

   Food Aid and Humanitarian Relief

   The conflict in Iraq has compromised the country’s food security and its medical and
   water systems. In response, the World Food Program has developed an emergency plan
   to meet the food needs of 27 million Iraqis, at a cost of $1.2 billion, from March 25 to
   September 25, 2003. Other donors, including the United States, are providing medicine
   and potable water to many locations. In addition, as many as 1 million Arabs may be
   displaced in Northern Iraq by Kurds, who are retaking the homes and villages they were
   expelled from over the last three decades. Potential issues are the total cost of food and
   humanitarian aid, coordination and effectiveness of humanitarian aid, the transition from
   emergency aid to sustainable living, and efforts to provide for the internally displaced.

   Peace Operations

   The peace operation in Iraq presents significant security and political challenges for the
   United States. Some tasks for the peacekeeping phase are providing security,


                                                                    GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
establishing an interim authority, establishing conditions for a transition to democracy,
and directing efforts to rebuild the economy. Another key task is rebuilding a
professional, civilian-controlled military to help ensure stability and protect the
territorial integrity of Iraq once the peacekeeping forces withdraw. Potential oversight
issues include the role, structure, and transition strategy of the peace operation; progress
and challenges in providing security and establishing an interim authority; the role of
allies and international organizations; and the factors that could hinder the effectiveness
of U.S. assistance to train and equip an Iraqi national army.

Economic Reform and Reconstruction

Building a sustainable market economy in Iraq will likely be a long-term effort. Iraq’s
centralized economic and political structure will require fundamental changes similar to
those that are taking place in the countries of the former Soviet Union. The most
immediate concern is Iraq’s physical reconstruction, including building roads, schools,
and power plants. Another immediate concern is Iraq’s external debt and its war
reparations resulting from the 1990 invasion of Kuwait—estimated to be as much as $400
billion. Additional concerns are the U.N. sanctions against Iraq and the related oil for
food program, which still has more than $3 billion in escrow. Potential issues include
oversight of the efficiency and effectiveness of reconstruction; the role and contributions
of allies, the United Nations, World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund; the pros
and cons of forgiving Iraq’s external debt; and resolution of the oil for food program.

Governance and Democracy Building

Iraq lacks a democratic tradition, including a stable multiparty political structure and
real opportunities for citizen involvement in government decision making. These
conditions, together with sharp ethnic, religious, and regional differences in the country,
present significant challenges to efforts to promote democracy. Some potential issues
include the scope and effectiveness of democracy-building projects; efforts to draft a
new constitution, reform existing criminal and civil codes, and develop a neutral and
competent police force; effectiveness of anticorruption efforts; and the role of the allies,
United Nations, and other international organizations in these efforts.

Weapons of Mass Destruction

Iraq implemented active programs to develop weapons of mass destruction (chemical,
biological, and nuclear) and their delivery vehicles, but has not fully accounted for them.
Uncertainties over the location of this material pose a threat to U.S. and coalition forces
in country and a long-term threat of theft and proliferation to other states or terrorist
groups. Iraq’s past record of developing weapons of mass destruction also raises
questions about the various multilateral export control arrangements and their ability to
prevent the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction in countries of concern, such
as Iraq, Libya, Syria, and Iran. Potential issues include the cost and effectiveness of U.S.
programs to locate and destroy Iraq’s weapons, the role of international organizations in
this effort, and the effectiveness of international export controls.



2                                                                 GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
These papers raise a number of oversight questions about rebuilding Iraq that Congress
may wish to consider. Consistent with our Congressional Protocols, we encourage early
discussion with us to explore whether GAO might be of assistance in this regard. If you
have any questions, please contact me at (202) 512-3655 or Joseph Christoff, Director, at
(202) 512-8979.




Susan S. Westin
Managing Director, International Affairs and Trade




3                                                              GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure I




I. Iraq Point Paper
                                                                               Iraq is bordered by Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi
                                                                               Arabia, Syria, and Turkey, as well as by the Persian
                                                                               Gulf. In 1990, the United States imposed sanctions
                                                                               on Iraq in response to its invasion of Kuwait. On
                                                                               March 19, 2003, the United States launched military
                                                                               operations against Iraq to disarm the country of its
                                                                               weapons of mass destruction and to remove
                                                                               Saddam Hussein’s government from power. More
                                                                               than three-quarters of Iraq’s population is Arab, but
                                                                               the country has a significant Kurdish population.
                                                                               Nearly two-thirds of the population is Shi’a Muslim
                                                                               and more than a third of the population is Sunni
                                                                               Muslim. In addition, more than a third of Iraq’s
                                                                               population is under the age of 15. Under Saddam
                                                                               Hussein, the Iraqi government did not allow
                                                                               opposition parties to operate legally in the country.
Source: CIA.
The United States does not maintain an embassy in Iraq.                        Iraq's economy was characterized by a heavy
                                                                               dependence on oil exports and an emphasis on
Iraq’s land area is about 432,000 square kilometers (about the size of
California).                                                                   development through central planning. Iraq has
                                                                               maritime and land boundary disputes with Iran.
U.S. Assistance
Between fiscal years 1990 and 2002, the United                           U.S. Estimated Assistance, Fiscal Year 2003
States provided about $25.5 million in food                                              (U.S. dollars in millions)
assistance to Iraq. In addition, between 1991 and
                                                                    Agency and program                                Amount of
1996, the United States provided nearly $794 million
in humanitarian assistance to internally displaced                                                                    assistance
persons in northern Iraq. In March 2003, the United                 USAID Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster
States began military operations in Iraq in part to                 Assistance                                             $49.2
remove Saddam Hussein’s government from power.
The fiscal year 2003 emergency supplemental                         USAID Food for Peace                                   430.0
authorized about $2.5 billion for relief and
reconstruction efforts in Iraq, available through fiscal            USAID Office of Transition Initiatives                   2.3
year 2004. As of April 24, 2003, the Department of
State and the U.S. Agency for International                         USAID Asia and Near East Region                         78.4
Development (USAID) estimated that they would                       Department of State Bureau of
provide about $596.5 million in assistance to Iraq in               Population, Refugees, and Migration                     36.6
fiscal year 2003. This amount does not reflect all
estimated assistance to Iraq for fiscal year 2003.                  Total                                               $ 596.5
                                                                                                                                  a




Sources: U.S. Department of State and U.S. Agency for International Development.
a
 The fiscal year 2003 emergency supplemental authorized about $2.5 billion for relief and reconstruction in Iraq.




4                                                                                              GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure I


International Aid Flows
From 1990 through
2001, international aid     Bilateral and Multilateral Official Development Assistance, 1990-2001
flows totaled about
$2.9 billion. U.S. and                              (Net disbursements, constant 2003 U.S. dollars in millions)
other countries’ aid                               800
totaled about $2.2
billion, while                                     600
multilateral aid totaled                           400
about $772 million.
                                                   200
Primary donors
included Germany,                                   0
the Netherlands,                                          1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Sweden, the United              Multilateral ODA          21.5 151.0 89.8 133.1 84.0 100.9 71.2 43.9           40.9    -3.4   17.4 21.3
States, the United              Other countries' ODA 86.5 119.3 80.6 83.8 87.9 134.9 197.8 198.4 81.4                 84.7    88.3 103.6
Kingdom, the
                                US ODA               0.0 420.0 0.0   0.0 130.8 152.0 121.1 0.0   0.0                   0.0    0.0      0.0
European
Commission, and the        Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
United Nations.            Note: Official development assistance (ODA) is defined as aid flows to a country provided by official
                           agencies to promote economic development and welfare. ODA is reported as net disbursements and
                           reflects total inflows of grants and loans minus total outflows of loan repayments.

Demographics
                                                         Ethnic groups                                        Religions
Key indicators
Population (millions)         23.0                                                                                              Sunni
                                                                           Kurdish
Growth rate                    3.3                                                                                              Muslim
                                                                           17.5%
(percentage)                                                                                                                    34.5%
Under 15 years old            41.1
(percentage)
Life expectancy at            67.4                                                                                                     Other
birth (years)                                                                                                                          3.0%
Literacy (percentage)           58
   male                         71                                            Other
                                           Arab                                                   Shi'a
   female                       45                                            5.0%
                                          77.5%                                                  Muslim
Seats in lower or              7.6
single house held by                                                                             62.5%
women (percentage)
Sources: Global Insight, CIA, and the Inter-Parliamentary Union.
Note: Ethnic and religious group percentages are estimated based on information from the CIA. The CIA lists ethnic group
percentages as Arab (75 to 80 percent), Kurdish (15 to 20 percent), and other (5 percent) and religious group percentages as Shi’a
Muslim (60 to 65 percent), Sunni Muslim (32 to 37 percent), and other (3 percent).

Governance, Rights, and Freedoms
Type of government          Republic
Type of legal system        Based on Islamic law in special religious courts and civil law system elsewhere
Source: CIA.
Note: These indicators refer to the Iraqi government under Saddam Hussein before March 19, 2003.


                             Not free                                                                                                Free
Political rights and         7                                                                                                          1
civil liberties




                             Repressed                                                                                               Free
                             5                                                                                                          1
Economic freedom




5                                                                                            GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure I

Sources: Freedom House and the Heritage Foundation.
Note: These indicators refer to the Iraqi government under Saddam Hussein before March 19, 2003.

Economics and Trade
Key indicators                            1996         1997         1998         1999         2000        2001   2002
Gross domestic product (GDP)
(purchasing power parity,
2002 U.S. dollars in billions)              9.2         10.2         11.4         12.7             14.2   14.6    14.8
Real GDP growth rate
(percentage)                                0.0         10.0         12.0         12.0             11.0    3.2     1.5
GDP per capita (purchasing
power parity, 2002 U.S. dollars)            448          479          524          571             617     656     644
Inflation (consumer prices,
percentage)                                34.5         45.0         45.0         43.0             40.0   28.1    24.6
Exports (2002 U.S. dollars in
billions)                                   1.1          4.3           6.4        12.2             17.0   11.1    10.6
Imports (2002 U.S. dollars in
billions)                                   1.2          4.9           5.4          9.4            12.9    9.5    10.4
Source: Global Insight.
Note: Lacking official data, these are estimates made in May 2002. GDP for 2002 may be revised upward.

Key Transnational Issues
•   Despite Iraq’s restored diplomatic relations with Iran in 1990, there are still maritime and land boundary
    disputes between the two countries. Outstanding issues from the Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988), including
    prisoner of war exchanges and support for armed opposition parties operating in each other’s territory,
    have not been resolved.
•   Dispute over water development plans by Turkey for the Tigris and Euphrates rivers.
Sources: CIA and U.S. Department of State.




6                                                                                         GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
7   GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure II


                        Oversight for Rebuilding Iraq
Food Aid and Humanitarian Assistance
Issue

The conflict in Iraq has compromised the country’s food security and its medical, water, and
sanitation systems. The United States, international donors, and relief organizations are
beginning to address Iraq’s postwar humanitarian needs. However, the scale of the crisis,
together with ongoing security concerns, make the provision of humanitarian relief a significant
challenge. The Congress has appropriated $2.5 billion in emergency supplemental funding for
relief and reconstruction, including funding for food distribution and humanitarian assistance.
The U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) has deployed an interagency Disaster
Assistance Response Team that is coordinating the delivery of potable water, medical supplies,
and other aid by nongovernmental organizations, U.N. agencies, and the military. The World
Food Program (WFP) also has developed an emergency plan to meet the food needs of 27 million
Iraqis at a cost of $1.2 billion through September 25, 2003. This plan uses existing WFP facilities
in Iraq (see fig. 1).

Figure 1: Local Residents of Erbil, Iraq, Receiving Rations of Wheat Flour from a WFP Food Distribution
Center




Source: © (2003) World Food Program.


Context

U.S. government and international organizations face challenges in managing multiple food
emergencies effectively. In fiscal year 2003, the growing number of humanitarian crises
(Afghanistan, Southern Africa, the Horn of Africa, North Korea, and Iraq) has forced the U.S.
government to budget $2.6 billion on food aid—the highest in 25 years—with over 85 percent
dedicated to emergency assistance. We have found that U.S. government management of food
aid has been marked by significant weaknesses in internal controls, monitoring, and
accountability. We also have reported that food aid programs have competing objectives and




8                                                                          GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure II

                                                                                  1
management weaknesses, which hamper their ability to meet their objectives. We have
reviewed the U.S. government management of food aid programs in North Korea and Russia and
has made a number of recommendations to improve the internal controls, monitoring, and
                                         2
accountability systems of these programs. We expect to report on our ongoing review of U.S.
food aid programs in Afghanistan and Southern Africa by June 2003.

Although Iraq did not suffer complete devastation from the war, it has no functioning economy.
Even before the war, 60 percent of Iraqis were dependent on the U.N. oil for food program to
meet household needs. Currently, provision of potable water remains a top priority; the United
Nations Children’s Fund estimates that 70 percent of children’s illnesses in Iraq stem from
contaminated drinking water. The World Health Organization also has been actively trying to
provide medical assistance to reestablish Iraq’s health system.

Oversight Questions

1. What is the total cost of emergency humanitarian and food assistance necessary to satisfy
   Iraq’s needs in the short-term?
2. How is the United States coordinating the delivery of humanitarian and food assistance
   among other international donors and relief organizations?
3. How effective and efficient is the delivery of humanitarian and food aid, particularly to
   vulnerable populations?
4. What are the monitoring and oversight procedures for humanitarian and food aid programs?
5. What are the obstacles to the effective and efficient provision of emergency humanitarian
   and food assistance?
6. How is the United States planning for and managing the transition from emergency
   humanitarian and food assistance to longer-term relief and sustainable recovery?




1
 U.S. General Accounting Office, Food Aid: Experience of U.S. Programs Suggests Opportunities for
Improvement, GAO-02-801T (Washington, D.C.: June 4, 2002).
2
U.S. General Accounting Office, Foreign Assistance: North Korean Constraints Limit Food Aid
Monitoring, T-NSIAD-00-47 (Washington, D.C.: Oct. 27, 1999), and Foreign Assistance: U.S. Food Aid to
Russia Had Weak Internal Controls, GAO/NSIAD-00-329 (Washington, D.C.: Sept. 29, 2000).


9                                                                        GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure III



                   Oversight for Rebuilding Iraq
Internally Displaced Persons
Issue

After having been expelled by Saddam Hussein’s government over three decades ago, Kurds are
now retaking land and villages in Northern Iraq that were recently occupied by Arabs.
Thousands of Arabs have already fled Kurdish-controlled areas in the north, including the major
urban areas of Kirkuk and Mosul. Humanitarian officials of the United Nations and other
organizations estimate the changed political landscape in northern Iraq could result in the
displacement of 1 million people in the coming months, with temporary shelters and assistance
being needed for them (see fig. 2).
Figure 2: Standard U.N. Tents for Internally Displaced Persons




Source: © United Nations Humanitarian Information Center for Iraq.


Context

We have reported that international organizations have not effectively protected internally
displaced persons because they have been prevented from doing so by ongoing armed conflict,
                                 3
governments, or political groups. Based on our survey of U.N. and humanitarian field level

3
U.S. General Accounting Office, Foreign Affairs: Internally Displaced Persons Lack Effective Protection,
GAO-01-803 (Washington, D.C.: Aug. 17, 2001).


10                                                                         GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure III

officials in 48 countries, we found that the internally displaced in 90 percent of the countries,
including Iraq, were at risk of direct physical attack or threat. In 58 percent of the countries, the
internally displaced were at risk of forced migration. These and other incidents reflected in
figure 3 below have the potential to occur in Northern Iraq.

Figure 3: Threats to Internally Displaced Persons, 2001




Source: GAO survey of 48 of the more than 50 countries with internally displaced persons. The survey includes Iraq.


We have also reported that international organizations are generally effective at delivering food,
health care, shelter, and water to displaced persons to sustain life during the initial stages of
displacement. However, as the displacement moves from the emergency phase into a longer-
term situation, international organizations are less effective in meeting the needs of displaced
populations.

Oversight Questions

1. What steps are the United States, Iraq authorities, and international organizations taking to
   protect internally displaced persons from physical attack or threat, forced migration, loss of
   employment opportunities, and access to education, health care, and services?
2. Does adequate security exist for relief workers operating among displaced populations?
3. Are the United States and international organizations meeting the basic assistance needs—
   food, water and sanitation, health care—of the displaced population? Do international
   organizations factor the long-term assistance needs of displaced populations into their
   planning and programming?
4. How effective is coordination among U.N., international, and nongovernmental organizations
   in preventing gaps and duplication of coverage?




11                                                                                             GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure IV



                    Oversight for Rebuilding Iraq
Post-conflict Peace Operation

Issue

The U.S.-led peace operation will provide the framework for Iraq’s reconstruction and political
transformation; providing security and stability will be a critical task for the military aspects of
the operation (see fig. 4). The operation also includes civilian aspects to establish an interim
national government, foster conditions for a democratic transition, and rebuild the economy.
The United States has worked with allies and the United Nations in conducting similar tasks in
Bosnia and Kosovo, the largest recent peace operations. However, these entities have one-fifth
the population of Iraq. The United States has not led a peace operation of the magnitude of Iraq
since U.S. efforts at the end of World War II.

Figure 4: U.S. Troops Provide Crowd Control in Baghdad




Source: Department of Defense, U.S. Army (April 16, 2003).


Context

We have conducted more than 30 reviews of peacekeeping operations and have identified factors
                                                                               4
that are important to successfully implementing complex peace operations. First, establishing a
secure environment is necessary for economic and political rebuilding to proceed. To provide
security, the peace operation needs clear objectives, adequate resources, and clear measures of
success. Second, peace operations need to be structured so that they can direct and coordinate
allies, the United Nations, international financial institutions, and other organizations. The

4
 U.S. General Accounting Office, Issues in Implementing International Peace Operations, GAO-02-707R
(Washington, D.C.: May 24, 2002) and Bosnia Peace Operation: Mission, Structure, and Transition
Strategy of NATO’s Stabilization Force, GAO/NSIAD-99-19 (Washington, D.C.: Oct. 8, 1998).



12                                                                       GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure IV

structure of the Bosnia mission, where the high representative has clear authority to make and
enforce decisions, has had some success in this regard. Third, peace operations are most
successful when military and civilian components work together closely and involve local
participation in making decisions. However, on some sensitive issues, such as the political status
of volatile regions, decisions may have to be deferred so that progress can be made toward a
transition.

The Iraq peace operation differs from recent ones in that the United States, rather than the
United Nations, will direct operations. Also, the United States will likely provide more troops
than in previous operations. For example, in the first year of the peace operation in Bosnia, the
United States provided approximately 18,000 troops. Several sources estimate the United States
will have to deploy 70,000 to 100,000 troops or more during the first year of stability operations in
     5
Iraq. To lighten the U.S. load, the United States is consulting with allies regarding their possible
role in post war Iraq. For example, in the past NATO has helped provided security (see fig. 5).

Figure 5: NATO Forces Provide Security at a Checkpoint in Bosnia




Source: GAO.


Oversight Questions

1. What are the objectives of the peace operation? Are the U.S. and international resources
   available to the operation adequate to accomplish the tasks and objectives? What are the
   measures of success?
2. How is the peace operation structured? What are the respective roles of the military and
   civilian components of the operation? What are the roles of allies and international
   organizations? How effectively are U.S. agencies, allies, and international organizations
   coordinating their efforts?
3. What is the transition strategy, and how is it being implemented? What issues, if any, are
   being deferred? What are the time frames for the transition?
4. What progress is the peace operation making in providing security, establishing an interim
   government, and rebuilding the economy? What are the challenges?



5
Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessment, Background Paper: Potential Cost of a War With Iraq
and Its Post-War Occupation (Feb. 25, 2003).


13                                                                       GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure V



                   Oversight for Rebuilding Iraq
Training and Equipping an Iraqi National Army

Issue

A key component to ensure stability and protect the territorial integrity of Iraq is the
establishment of a professional, civilian-controlled military. The United States is presently
playing a role in training and equipping the Afghanistan national army and has done so for other
militaries in the past (see fig. 6). While the U.S. role in training and equipping an Iraqi military is
presently unclear, past endeavors have had to address several issues, including the host military’s
capability to absorb, integrate, and maintain the training and equipment it receives, as well as
determine how the training and equipment are ultimately used.
Figure 6: U.S. Special Forces Issue Uniforms to New Recruits at the Afghan National Army Training Site in Kabul,
Afghanistan




Source: Department of Defense, U.S. Army (May 14, 2002).


Context

The Departments of State and Defense manage assistance programs that attempt to identify and
address the requirements of selected foreign militaries. These programs frequently include some
mix of foreign military financing of equipment and training, international military education and
training, joint exercises, and provision of excess defense articles. The United States does not
provide this assistance in a vacuum; other nations often provide similar types of assistance to
foreign militaries. In some cases, these nations have aims and security objectives similar to those
of the United States. Even when those aims and objectives are compatible, the United States’s
and other nations’ military traditions, doctrine, and equipment may not be compatible. This
raises questions about whether the assistance provided by allies and other organizations



14                                                                                      GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure V

reinforces or counters our efforts, thus calling into question the value, sustainability, and
effectiveness of U.S. assistance to foreign militaries.

While our recent evaluations have not focused on building, training, and equipping entire foreign
militaries, we have evaluated selected U.S. assistance efforts. For example, our review of
defense drawdowns to Bosnia and Jordan highlighted the importance of ensuring that countries
                                                                             6
have sufficient funding to maintain or operate the defense articles provided. Our reviews of U.S.
efforts to train and equip Colombian Army and national police counternarcotics units showed
                                                                     7
that U.S. assistance had been of limited utility for several reasons. For example, there were
long-standing problems in planning and implementing U.S. assistance, such as inadequate
operations and maintenance funding. Further, we had concerns about the appropriateness and
timeliness of the assistance. Moreover, the effectiveness of U.S. assistance was hampered
because the Colombian government had little control over large parts of its territory.

Questions have been raised about the adequacy of U.S. planning for post-conflict assistance to
Iraq and the timeliness of these efforts. Although U.S. efforts to train and equip an Iraqi national
army will likely be broader and more extensive than U.S. efforts in Colombia, many of the
oversight and evaluation issues associated with U.S. efforts will be quite similar.

Oversight Questions

1. What is the plan to build, train, and equip the Iraqi national army, and how does it fit into
   broader objectives for achieving security in Iraq?
2. What have been the costs associated with this plan, and what are the estimates of future
   costs?
3. What measures have been taken to ensure that U.S. assistance is used for intended purposes
   and that donor assistance is coordinated?
4. To what extent have lessons learned been identified and applied to improve the effectiveness
   of efforts to train and equip the Iraqi military?
5. What factors, if any, hinder the provision and/or effectiveness of U.S. assistance, and what
   steps have U.S. officials taken to address these factors?




6
 U.S. General Accounting Office, Foreign Assistance: Reporting of Defense Articles and Services Provided
through Drawdowns Needs to be Improved, GAO-02-1027 (Washington, D.C.: Sept. 20, 2002).
7
U.S. General Accounting Office, Drug Control: U.S. Assistance to Colombia Will Take Years to Produce
Results, GAO-01-26 (Washington, D.C.: Oct. 17, 2000).


15                                                                         GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure VI



                    Oversight for Rebuilding Iraq
Economic Transition Issues

Issue

The administration has stated that the creation of a competitive private sector within a
democratic political system is one of its primary goals for Iraq. Although near-term economic
assistance will focus on humanitarian and reconstruction needs, fostering long-term economic
stability will require fundamental changes in institutions and laws that underpin market
economies. Based on experience with other economic transitions, this transition is likely to face
substantial challenges and will take a long time. For example, a major challenge facing Iraq is
whether and how to privatize Iraq’s vast oil resources for the long-term benefit of all the Iraqi
people. Some oil production is already coming back on-line (see fig. 7).

Figure 7: American, British, and Iraqi Oil Workers Complete Reopening of Four Wells in the Rumeila Field




Source: Department of State (April 2003).


Context

Since the mid-1990s, our reports on U.S. and international efforts to assist economic transition in
Russia and other former Soviet Union countries have highlighted challenges in moving from
                                                                              8
economic and political upheaval to long-term sustainable economic growth. For example, we
found that moving countries from state control to market economies rooted in democratic

8
 U.S. General Accounting Office, Foreign Assistance: International Efforts to Aid Russia’s Transition
Have Had Mixed Results, GAO-01-8 (Washington, D.C.: Nov. 1, 2000); Former Soviet Union: U.S. Rule of
Law Assistance Has Had Limited Impact, GAO-01-354 (Washington, D.C.: Apr. 17, 2001); Former Soviet
Union: Information on U.S. Bilateral Program Funding, GAO/NSIAD-96-37 (Washington, D.C.: Dec. 15,
1995).


16                                                                                     GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure VI

institutions has taken longer, cost more, and been considerably more difficult than anticipated.
Because transition periods are often associated with increased economic hardships, maintaining
public support for long-term goals can be especially difficult. Specific lessons have been learned
from these transitions: (1) local “ownership” of reforms is necessary for long-term success; (2)
coordinating international efforts to promote reform efforts has been a significant challenge; and
(3) lack of program focus, poor design, and implementation problems have undermined efforts.

U.S. and international efforts to promote economic and democratic transitions have relied on the
consent of the countries, and little progress has been made without the support of the recipient
country. This major barrier may not be as significant an issue in post war Iraq, because Iraqi
authorities have indicated their interest in reviving the economy and needing the help and
cooperation of the United States and international organizations.

Oversight Questions

     1. What role does the United States plan to play in promoting economic transition in Iraq?
        To what degree will the United States be responsible for directly writing and
        implementing new laws and procedures; how will the United States ensure the support
        and “buy-in” of Iraqi officials?
     2. How long is U.S. involvement in Iraq’s economic transition expected to last? How much
        will it cost the United States?
     3. How will the transition for specific sectors, such as oil, be carried out? What will be the
        mix of private and public ownership and control in such sectors?
     4. What will be the respective roles of other foreign governments and international
        institutions in fostering economic reform in Iraq? How will coordination be handled
        among U.S. federal departments and agencies, and among the United States and other
        governments and organizations?
     5. If other institutions (e.g., the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund) are
        involved in covering the social costs, what role will they play in developing and
        implementing the programs?
     6. To what extent will former Ba’ath Party members be allowed to participate in the new
        governing and judicial institutions? What authority will the United States and other
        donors have to ensure the implementation of economic reform efforts?




17                                                                       GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure VII



                  Oversight for Rebuilding Iraq
Reconstruction

Issue

The United States will spend a significant amount of money to help repair and rebuild Iraq’s
infrastructure and social sectors. The Congress has appropriated $2.5 billion in emergency
supplemental funding for relief and reconstruction. The U.S. Agency for International
Development (USAID) will play a major role in the reconstruction of Iraq and has awarded
several grants and contracts to help rebuild Iraq, including contracts for public health, capital
construction, and local governance. The Department of Defense has been delegated overall
responsibility for Iraqi relief and reconstruction and has begun some initial efforts (see fig. 8),
but the precise roles of USAID and Defense in the reconstruction are unclear.

Figure 8: U.S. Navy Seabee Engineers Refurbishing the Al Nasiriyah Police Headquarters Building




Source: Department of Defense, U.S. Air Force (April 2003).

Context

USAID traditionally provides short-term, quickly disbursed emergency relief and long-term
development assistance designed to bring about sustainable economic growth and improvements
in health, education, governance, and other sectors. However, USAID also has been asked to
provide large amounts of short-term disaster recovery assistance in efforts that differ from its
usual mandate. For example, USAID provided $553 in hurricane reconstruction assistance over a
2 and a half-year period in Latin America. This work included infrastructure repair and
construction, efforts not traditionally within USAID’s purview (see fig. 9). During our review of
that assistance, we made recommendations to USAID to develop mechanisms to quickly relocate




18                                                                                    GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure VII

or to hire the staff needed to oversee a large reconstruction program with a relatively short time
       9
frame.
Figure 9: Longer-term USAID Project Provided for Bridge Reconstruction in Honduras
     After




                                                                      Before




Source: GAO.

In Iraq, USAID may be responsible for disbursing billions over the next few years—some analysts
estimate an annual cost of $20 billion to fund reconstruction and maintain the U.S. presence--and
could face several problems even more challenging than those involved in hurricane
reconstruction. First, although USAID will likely play a major role and has already entered into
some contracts for Iraq, the President has delegated overall responsibility for relief and
reconstruction to the Department of Defense. Second, project implementation and oversight will
depend to a large extent on the security situation in country. Third, the amount of funding is
projected to be much larger, and questions may arise about whether the Iraqi economy will be
able to absorb it.

Oversight Questions

1. How will the Department of Defense, USAID, and other U.S. government agencies involved in
   the reconstruction program ensure that funds are spent for intended purposes?
2. What are USAID’s plans for staffing the reconstruction effort in a timely manner?
3. How will U.S. government agencies coordinate with one another and other international
   donors to minimize duplication and overlap?




9
 U.S. General Accounting Office, Foreign Assistance: Disaster Recovery Program Addressed Intended
Purposes, but USAID Needs Greater Flexibility to Improve Its Response Capability, GAO-02-787
(Washington, D.C.: July 24, 2002).


19                                                                                   GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure VIII



                  Oversight for Rebuilding Iraq
U.N. Oil for Food Program

Issue

The oil for food program provided goods and services to every sector of the Iraq economy—food
and agriculture, water, sanitation, education, power generation, transportation, oil processing,
              10
and housing. Since 1996, the program has employed more than 44,000 people, required a
national economic and distribution plan, and accounted for about 70 percent (based on 2002
estimates) of Iraq’s gross domestic product. The Security Council has renewed the program until
June 3, 2003. However, when to transfer control of Iraq’s oil resources from the United Nations
to an Iraq authority and how to ensure a smooth transition are major issues. Figure 10 shows the
physical location for monitoring Iraq’s oil exports and its imports—an element of the program to
be eliminated.

Figure 10: Exit and Entry Points for Oil for Food Imports and Exports




Context

Since 1996, the U.N. oil for food program has generated $64 billion from oil sales and has been
the primary provider of food for 60 percent of Iraqis. Oil exports under the program have

10
 U.S. General Accounting Office, Weapons of Mass Destruction: U.N. Confronts Significant Challenges
in Implementing Sanctions against Iraq, GAO-02-625 (Washington, D.C.: May 23, 2002).


20                                                                       GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure VIII

averaged nearly $10 billion per year since 1997. However, Iraq has not exported oil since March
2003. Despite this, as of May 2003, the program had about $3.2 billion dollars in uncommitted
funds and another $10.1 billion of funds that had been committed for goods not yet delivered to
Iraq. The $10 billion had not yet been paid out. Some of the goods to be delivered included $2.4
billion in food commodities and $506 million in water and sanitation equipment (see fig. 11). In
addition to the above, the program approved but has not funded about $7 billion in contracts that
were signed by the former Iraqi government.

Figure 11: Oil for Food Program Funded the Construction of a Water Station in Northern Iraq




Source: © United Nations (March 2003).


The program’s rationale—allowing Iraq to provide for its essential civilian and humanitarian
needs, while preventing the purchase of goods to develop weapons of mass destruction—has
now largely ended. However, transitioning such a large program and its remaining funds and
functions to a U.S. or Iraqi authority that can effectively undertake reconstruction remains a
challenge.

Oversight Questions

1. What are the options for dealing with the oil for food program’s $3.2 billion in available funds
   and $7 billion in contracts signed by the former Iraqi government?
2. To what extent are the $10 billion in undelivered commodities coordinated with U.S. and
   other humanitarian and reconstruction plans?
3. How will the United Nations ensure a full accounting and reporting for a closeout of the
   program’s funds and assets?
4. How will the United States ensure that the functions of the oil for food program—food
   distribution, medical services, etc.—continue as needed?
5. What are the plans for and challenges to effectively transitioning the oil for food functions to
   an Iraqi authority and within what time frame?
6. What oversight will be in place to ensure that the transfer of the program and the future use
   of oil revenues are effective and without corruption?




21                                                                                     GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure IX



                      Oversight for Rebuilding Iraq
Financing External Debt

Issue

By some estimates, Iraq’s external debt and war reparations from 1991 may be as high as $200
billion and $227 billion, respectively. The large debt burden could significantly hinder
humanitarian and economic reconstruction efforts. In addition, it is unclear whether Iraq should
be made to honor its external obligations or whether creditors and others should relieve this
burden.

The precise amount of Iraq’s external debt is unknown because firm data are not available from
some creditors or from the Iraqi government. Estimates vary widely—ranging from $42.1 billion
to $200 billion (see table 1), making it difficult to know how much debt is owed to multilateral
institutions, foreign governments, and the private sector. The Center for Strategic and
International Studies projects that Iraq owes most of its debt to non-OECD countries, including
Kuwait, other Gulf States, and Russia, which includes both governments and the private sector.
Since Iraq ceased to service its debt to most creditors in 1990, it also has significant accumulated
                               11
interest charges (see fig. 12).

Table 1: Estimates of Iraq’s External Debts
                                                         Amount
                     Source                           (U.S. Dollars in                           Comments
                                                         billions)
CIA World Factbook (2001)                           $62                        Does not provide a breakdown
U.S. Energy Information                             $100-200                   Does not provide a breakdown
Administration (2003)
Center for Strategic and International              $127                       Includes some creditors and accrued
Studies (2003)                                                                 interest
Government of Iraq (1991)                           $42                        Does not include interest and $30b in
                                                                               loans from Gulf states
Former Iraqi Central Bank (2002)                    $130                       Does not provide a breakdown
             a
OECD (2001)                                         $11.5                      Includes debt owed only to OECD
                                                                               members
Source: GAO analysis.

    The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) is composed of 30 industrialized countries.
a




Context

As of March 16, 2003, the United Nations estimates that Iraq still has unpaid or unsettled claims
of $227 billion owed to individuals, families, companies, governments, and international
organizations for different types of losses, such as personal injury, death, property, business, and
nonpayment of goods and services (see fig. 13).


11
 Iraq owes U.S. government $2 billion deriving from loan guarantees made by the Agriculture Department’s
Commodity Credit Corporation.



22                                                                                            GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
  Enclosure IX


  Fig. 12: Iraqi External Debt                                 Fig. 13: Unpaid or Unsettled Reparations Claims
                 ($127 billion)                                                ($227.4 billion)

                  U.S.                  Russia                                                         Individuals
                   $2                    $12                                                              $20.6


                                                                                                                     Corporations
                                                     Kuw ait                                                            $25.1
   Interest
                                                      $17
     $47




                                                Other Gulf states
                                                      $30               Governments/
Other non-OECD                                                           International
       $9                                                               organizations
                  Other OECD          Multilateral                          $181.7
                     $9.5             creditors
                                         $0.5

  Source: Center for Strategic and International Studies,            Source: U.N. Compensation Commission.
  OECD, and GAO analysis.


  The current forum for rescheduling or relieving Iraq’s official bilateral debt is through the “Paris
         12
  Club,” which is generally composed of members of the OECD. However, a large portion of
  Iraq’s debt is owed to countries that are not members of the Paris Club, and it is uncertain
  whether these countries would conform to a Paris Club framework. Relief of commercial debt is
                                      13
  usually through the “London Club.” Furthermore, it is unclear how to address a request for the
  pardon of Gulf war reparations, nor whether such a request would include claims that have been
  settled but not yet paid.

  Oversight Questions

  1. What is a realistic estimate of Iraq’s external debt? What is the composition of this debt by
     creditor?
  2. If debt relief is pursued, will there be full participation of all creditors, including multilaterals,
     Paris Club, non-Paris Club, and commercial creditors? Will any relief package result in
     comparable terms of forgiveness and equitable burden sharing to all creditors?
  3. How are war reparations claims to be resolved? Is this process open to modifications by the
     U.N. Security Council, which established the resolution governing the war reparations
     claims?
  4. What are the lessons learned from recent experience in relieving external debt of former
     regimes?
  5. How does Iraq’s external debt burden affect its ability to attract new investments? Does the
     manner in which the existing debt and claims are resolved affect future investment
     decisions?




  12
       A group of bilateral creditor countries that meet to negotiate sovereign debt rescheduling and debt relief.
  13
       A group of commercial creditors that meet to restructure sovereign debt owed to commercial banks.


  23                                                                                                  GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure X



                   Oversight for Rebuilding Iraq
Developing a Commercial Strategy

Issue

Rebuilding Iraq is expected to be the largest reconstruction effort since World War II. The
reconstruction will occur in many sectors, including environmental clean-up; oil well repairs and
refinery improvements; construction of schools, water systems, roads, railroads, airports and
seaports; telecommunications networks; and hospital equipment. U.S. firms can play a leading
role in promoting economic stability by providing local employment and helping Iraq transition
to a market economy. However, past reconstruction efforts indicate that U.S. trade agencies
need to coordinate their efforts to identify and develop commercial opportunities that can be
available to a wide variety of U.S. businesses (see fig. 14).

Figure 14: A Compressed Earth Block Machine Intended to Help Build Schools in Kabul, Afghanistan




Source: Overseas Private Investment Corporation.


Context

As we noted in our recent work, U.S. agencies play separate but integrated roles in the
                                       14
development of post conflict countries. Initial USAID assistance can lead to commercial

14
 U.S. General Accounting Office, Export Promotion: Mixed Progress in Achieving a Governmentwide
Strategy, GAO-02-850 (Washington, D.C.: Sept. 4, 2002).


24                                                                                  GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure X

opportunities for U.S. firms, particularly in the water and environmental sectors. To pursue
these opportunities, the Trade and Development Agency funds U.S.-contracted studies that help
foreign governments determine the design of infrastructure projects. Commerce’s Foreign
Commercial Service informs U.S. businesses of project opportunities and coordinates with other
U.S. agencies to help win projects and see them to completion. To help a business compete for a
project, the Overseas Private Investment Corporation mitigates the risks businesses face in post
crisis countries by providing project insurance and finance. The Export-Import Bank helps
businesses export products, such as the equipment used in reconstruction, by providing loans
and guarantees on exports.

U.S. trade agencies routinely face challenges when participating in newly developing markets of
transitional countries. In the Former Soviet Union (FSU), they have coordinated the
development of an oil pipeline through the FSU and Turkey, and more recently have been doing
market development in Southeast Europe. In a recent Department of Commerce survey, U.S.
businesses cited the need for U.S. agencies to better coordinate the early identification and
development of projects. In an effort to improve coordination and identify project opportunities,
Commerce’s Foreign Commercial Service, the Overseas Private Investment Corporation, and the
Trade and Development Agency have colocated in offices in Croatia and Turkey. The benefits of
this approach have not been evaluated. Plans to rebuild Iraq will benefit from an examination of
the lessons learned in prior U.S. government reconstruction efforts.

Oversight Questions

1. How has the Foreign Commercial Service coordinated with other U.S. agencies in identifying
   business opportunities in post conflict countries, including Iraq?
2. How effective were USG commercial strategies in post conflict countries and regions of
   interest?
3. What lessons can be learned from past U.S. efforts to develop business opportunities in post
   conflict countries and regions of interest? How can these lessons be integrated into the
   reconstruction of Iraq?




25                                                                    GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure XI



                   Oversight for Rebuilding Iraq
Promoting Democracy

Issue

The administration has linked regime change in Iraq with the opportunity to promote democracy
and create a model for the spread of democratic values in the Middle East. However, Iraq’s
underlying conditions, including the lack of a democratic tradition and sharp ethnic, religious,
and regional differences, will likely present significant challenges to democratization efforts.
World Bank indicators measuring broad dimensions of governance in individual countries
demonstrate the challenge of transforming Iraq. Iraq ranked lower than virtually all other
countries in the world on three crucial measures of good governance. The average ranking for
countries in the Middle East is also considerably higher than for Iraq (see fig. 15).

Figure 15: Ranking of Iraq and the Middle East Region on Good Governance Indicators, 2000-2001




          60%
          50%
          40%
          30%
          20%
          10%
           0%
                              Iraq                Middle East & North Africa

               Voice and Accountability    Government Effectiveness   Rule of Law

Source: GAO analysis of World Bank data.


Context

In figure 15, voice and accountability measure political rights, civil liberties, and media
independence; government effectiveness measures government abilities to implement sound
policies and provide public services; and the rule of law measures crime, judiciary effectiveness,
and the enforceability of contracts.

We have reported that democratic reform is a slow and challenging process and that a long term
U.S. commitment is necessary if U.S.-supported reforms are to be sustainable and have an
impact. U.S. assistance generally has had greater success in helping countries administer
elections and draft and enact new legislation. However, the more difficult challenges have been
to develop an underlying culture for democratic reform and building institutions to implement
reforms that lead to meaningful long-term change. U.S. assistance supporting democratic
reforms in the Former Soviet Union (FSU) and Latin America has had mixed results in creating
more transparent and accountable governments and increasing citizen participation in political




26                                                                                   GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure XI

     15
life. Factors affecting the results of this assistance have been the host country commitment to
and resources provided for reform and the effectiveness of coordination among U.S. agencies
and other international donors.
Conditions in Iraq will present a number of significant and unique challenges to democratic
development:

     •    Establishing a common national identity as a foundation for democratization appears to
          be a more difficult challenge than that faced in the FSU or Latin America. Iraq is
          characterized by significant religious, regional, and ethnic divisions. An additional
          dilemma is how to rid the new government of the influence of Ba’ath party functionaries,
          who may be extensively imbedded in the existing bureaucracy.
     •    Iraq currently lacks a rule of law, a multiparty political structure, separation of powers,
          and a democratic tradition. Iraqi exile figures appear to be largely distrusted within Iraq.
          In addition, new leadership will have to be built from the ground up.
     •    U.S. policymakers also face the dilemma that democratic development in Iraq and the
          Middle East could have the result of empowering Islamist groups that have widespread
          popularity and are unfriendly to U.S. interests.

Oversight Questions

1. How are U.S. agencies planning for democracy-building activities in Iraq? What are the short-
   and long-term objectives of these efforts? What is the nature of these assistance efforts and
   their related costs?
2. To what extent are U.S. agencies involved in post war democracy-building activities
   coordinating their efforts to ensure that they have common objectives and provide assistance
   efficiently and effectively? How are these agencies coordinating with other donors?
3. Are U.S. agencies applying lessons learned from previous U.S. democracy-building efforts in
   post conflict societies?
4. To what extent are democracy-related foreign aid programs linked to high-level U.S.
   diplomatic efforts to encourage democratic development in Iraq?
5. What are the administration’s plans for linking democratization in Iraq to wider democracy-
   building efforts in the Middle East?




15
 See U.S. General Accounting Office, Foreign Assistance: U.S. Economic and Democratic Assistance to
the Central Asian Republics, GAO/NSIAD-99-200 (Washington, D.C.: Aug. 11, 1999), and Foreign
Assistance: U.S. Democracy Programs in Six Latin American Countries Have Yielded Modest Results,
GAO-03-358 (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 18, 2003).


27                                                                         GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure XII



                   Oversight for Rebuilding Iraq
Weapons of Mass Destruction
Issue

During the 1990s, Iraq developed weapons of mass destruction (WMD)—chemical, biological,
and nuclear—and their delivery vehicles, including ballistic missiles (see fig. 16). However, Iraq
did not fully account for this material and for its WMD infrastructure, as required by U.N.
resolutions. Uncertainty about the location, type, and quantities of these materials and related
technologies poses an immediate threat to U.S. and coalition forces in country. The possibility of
unsecured WMD also poses long-term threats of theft and proliferation to other states or terrorist
groups.

Figure 16: Al Samoud 2 Missile Facility Near Baghdad




Source: © (2003) United Nations.


Context

We reviewed U.S. programs intended to help the FSU secure and destroy its WMD stocks. These
programs also tried to ensure that WMD scientists are employed in peaceful activities to
discourage them from selling their skills to countries of concern or terrorist groups. We found
that securing and destroying weapons of mass destruction can take longer and cost more than
          16
expected. Moreover, human proliferation of WMD knowledge is a significant concern. In this
regard, State lacked complete information on the number and locations of senior scientists who


16
 U.S. General Accounting Office, Weapons of Mass Destruction: Effort to Reduce Russian Arsenals May
Cost More, Achieve Less Than Planned, GAO/NSIAD-99-76 (Washington, D.C.: Apr. 13, 1999).



28                                                                      GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Enclosure XII

once developed nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons and missile systems for the former
              17
Soviet Union.

The most significant difference between the U.S. experience in providing disarmament assistance
to states of the former Soviet Union and Iraq is that the Russian government had to agree to
participate in the U.S. Cooperative Threat Reduction programs. Issues over Russian cooperation
and access to facilities have slowed U.S. efforts to help secure Russia’s arsenal of weapons of
                   18
mass destruction. These same issues may not arise with a strong U.S. presence in Iraq.

Oversight Questions

1. What role should international organizations and the U.S. government play in disarming Iraq
   and in locating, securing, and destroying stockpiles and equipment related to chemical,
   biological, and nuclear weapons production? Are U.S. government agencies and American
   contractors with relevant experience and expertise involved in this process?
2. What are estimates of the size of Iraq’s stockpiles of available chemical, biological, and
   nuclear materials and facilities? What U.S. funds will be needed to secure such stocks from
   theft or diversion and, ultimately, to destroy them?
3. How many Iraqi scientists have WMD expertise, and where are they now? What steps should
   be taken to limit the proliferation of their expertise?
4. What military and dual-use items were exported to Iraq in violation of the U.N. embargo, and
   how did Iraq acquire these items? What companies and countries provided the items? How
   has the U.S. government responded to apparent violations of the embargo?
5. What lessons could be learned from the United Nations’ inspection experience that would be
   relevant to U.S. or international WMD inspection procedures?




17
 U.S. General Accounting Office, Weapons of Mass Destruction: State Department Oversight of Science
Centers Program, GAO-01-582 (Washington, D.C.: May 10, 2001).
18
 U.S. General Accounting Office, Weapons of Mass Destruction: Additional Russian Cooperation Needed
to Facilitate U.S. Efforts to Improve Security at Russian Sites, GAO-03-482 (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 24,
2003).


29                                                                        GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
III: Related GAO Products

Below are selected examples of recent GAO products related to reconstruction.

Humanitarian Relief and Food Aid
Food Aid: Experience of U.S. Programs Suggests Opportunities for Improvement. GAO-02-
801T. Washington, D.C.: June 6, 2002.
Humanitarian Affairs: Internally Displaced Persons Lack Effective Protection. GAO-01-803.
Washington, D.C.: Aug. 17, 2001.
Foreign Assistance: U.S. Food Aid to Russia Had Weak Internal Controls. GAO/NSIAD-00-329.
Washington, D.C.: Sept. 29, 2000.
Foreign Assistance: North Korean Constraints Limit Food Aid Monitoring. T-NSIAD-00-47.
Washington, D.C.: Oct. 27, 1999.

Peace Operations
Issues in Implementing International Peace Operations. GAO-02-707R. Washington, D.C.: May
24, 2002.
Bosnia: Crime and Corruption Threaten Successful Implementation of Dayton Peace
Agreement. T-NSIAD-00-219. Washington, D.C.: July 19, 2000.
Balkans Security: Current and Projected Factors Affecting Regional Stability. GAO/NSIAD-00-
125BR. Washington, D.C.: Apr. 24, 2000.
Bosnia Peace Operation: Mission, Structure, and Transition Strategy of NATO’s Stabilization
Force. GAO/NSIAD-99-138. Washington, D.C.: Oct. 8, 1998.
United Nations: Limitations in Leading Missions Requiring Force to Restore Peace.
GAO/NSIAD-97-34. Washington, D.C.: Mar. 27, 1997.

Economic Reform and Reconstruction
Foreign Assistance: Disaster Recovery Program Addressed Intended Purposes, but USAID
Needs Greater Flexibility to Improve Its Response Capability. GAO-02-787. Washington, D.C.:
July 24, 2002.
Foreign Assistance: Implementing Disaster Recovery Assistance in Latin America. GAO-01-
541T. Washington, D.C.: Mar. 21, 2001.
Foreign Assistance: International Efforts to Aid Russia’s Transition Have Had Mixed Results.
GAO-01-08. Washington, D.C.: Nov. 1, 2000.
World Bank: Management Controls Stronger, but Challenges in Fighting Corruption Remain.
GAO/NSIAD-00-273. Washington, D.C.: Apr. 6, 2000.

Governance and Democracy Building
Foreign Assistance: U.S. Democracy Programs in Six Latin American Countries Have Yielded
Modest Results. GAO-03-058. Washington, D.C.: Mar. 18, 2003.
Cambodia: Governance Reform Progressing, But Key Efforts Are Lagging. GAO-02-569.
Washington, D.C.: June 13, 2002.
Former Soviet Union: U.S. Rule of Law Assistance Has Had Limited Impact and Sustainability.
GAO-01-740T. Washington, D.C.: May 17, 2001.
Foreign Assistance: Peru on Track for Free and Fair Elections but Faces Major Challenges. GAO-
01-496T. Washington, D.C.: Mar. 14, 2001.
Foreign Assistance: U.S. Rule of Law Assistance to Five Latin American Countries. GAO/NSIAD-
99-195. Washington, D.C.: Aug. 4, 1999.
Foreign Assistance: U.S. Economic and Democratic Assistance to Central Asian Republics.
GAO/NSIAD-99-200. Washington, D.C.: Mar. 11, 1999.



30                                                                  GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq
Security Assistance and Agreements
Central and Southwest Asian Countries: Trends in U.S. Assistance and Key Economic,
Governance, and Demographic Characteristics. GAO-03-634R. Washington, D.C.: May 9, 2003).
Foreign Assistance: Reporting of Defense Articles and Services Provided through Drawdowns
Needs to Be Improved. GAO-02-1027. Washington, D.C.: Sept. 20, 2002.
NATO: Progress Toward More Mobile and Deployable Forces. GAO/NSIAD-99-929. Washington,
D.C.: Sept. 30, 1999.

Weapons of Mass Destruction
Weapons of Mass Destruction: Additional Russian Cooperation Needed to Facilitate U.S.
Efforts to Improve Security at Russian Sites. GAO-03-482. Washington, D.C.: Mar. 24, 2003.
Weapons of Mass Destruction: Observations on U.S. Threat Reduction and Nonproliferation
Programs in Russia. GAO-03-526T. Washington, D.C.: Mar. 5, 2003.
Arms Control: Efforts to Strengthen the Biological Weapons Convention. GAO-02-1038NI.
Washington, D.C.: Sept. 30, 2002.
Biological Weapons: Efforts to Reduce Former Soviet Threat Offers Benefits, Poses New Risks.
GAO/NSIAD-00-138. Washington, D.C.: Apr. 28, 2000.
Weapons of Mass Destruction: U.N. Confronts Significant Challenges in Implementing
Sanctions against Iraq. GAO-02-625. Washington, D.C.: May 2002.




(832013)


31                                                                 GAO-03-792R Rebuilding Iraq